Hibridni model upravljanja kapacitetom životne sredine
Author
Vasović, DejanMentor
Ristić, Goran
Committee members
Stanković, MiomirŽivković, Nenad
Stojanović, Marina
Takić, Ljiljana
Metadata
Show full item recordAbstract
Operational adaptive management, prediction, and prevention of risk events
are significant for a successful concept of environmental capacity
management. Therefore, it is necessary to develop an integrating hybrid
model of environmental capacity management that would incorporate the
existing models of environmental capacity management.
The subject of this doctoral research is aimed towards developing a model
of environmental capacity management and towards clearly and
unequivocally proving the causal relationships between determinants of
environmental vulnerability, resilience, and capacity. The research is
focused on demonstrating the necessity of assessing environmental
vulnerability, resilience, and capacity levels and on creating a new hybrid
model of environmental capacity management that would help achieve
proactivity in an environmental capacity management system and in
environmental protection in general.
The modelling of environmental capacity management processe...s and their
performance will be based on quantitative and qualitative methods such as
factor analysis, Turner's method, and fuzzy AHP. Incorporation of the
hybrid model in a GIS environment will enable proper simulation analysis
and verification of the model based on the DPSIR analytical framework and
the relevant data available from the research sources. Definition of
referential criteria and indicators of environmental vulnerability, resilience,
and capacity constitutes the practical scientific contribution of this research.
The results obtained in this research form a basis for the improvement of the
following processes: identification of interdependence aspects in the
society-environment system, ecological risk assessment, evaluation of
vulnerability level of society as an environmental component, as well as
design of advanced programs of environmental capacity management in a
broader and narrower context and on different spatial and temporal levels.
The results also raise the possibility of investigating the quantification of
the effects of a hybrid environmental protection system and the monitoring
and evaluation of environmental protection performance.
This doctoral dissertation is a result of the author’s research, conducted both
individually and in cooperation with other researchers dealing with this
subject matter, affiliated with the following institutions:
University of Niš, Faculty of Occupational Safety in Niš;
University of Novi Sad, Faculty of Technical Sciences, Disaster Risk
Reduction Research Centre;
University of Defence, Military Academy;
Ministry of Interior, Emergency Management Sector;
Serbian Environmental Protection Agency;
Russian-Serbian Humanitarian Centre;
Disaster Management Training and Education Centre for Africa, Republic
of South Africa;
EMERCOM of Russia; and
United Nations University, Institute for Environmental and Human
Security, Germany.