Model poslovnog odlučivanja u uslovima neizvesnosti

Abstract

Predmet ovog istraživanja je ponašanje donosilaca odluka u uslovima neizvesnosti. Na osnovu sprovedene simulacije među subjektima i dobijenih rezultata, cilj ove disertacije je da se utvrde dominantni faktori prilikom poslovnog odlučivanja u uslovma kada donosiolac poslovnih odluka ne raspolaže informacijama potrebnim za ispravno donošenje odluka u trenucima kada njegova investicija ostvaruje gubitak. Prilikom utvrđivanja sklonosti donosioca odluke u obzir je uzet i pol donosioca odluke i poslovni status, kao i prethodno iskazane sklonosti ka riziku.

The subject of this research is behavior of decision – makers in ambiguous surroundings. Based on the simulation that was conducted among subjects and results obtained from it, the aim of this dissertation is to establish dominant factors that influence decision – making process in situations where information neccesery for adequate decision – making are not available to decision – makers in situations where decision – makers are facing loss. Gender and employmet status were taken into consideration during determination of decision – makers preferences, as well as their previously exhibited risk preferences.